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| English: Dnepr river in Kiev (Photo credit: Wikipedia) |
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| English: *Blue line is Percent Change From Preceding Period in Real Gross Domestic Product Red line is Average GDP growth for Japan from 1950–2000 (Photo credit: Wikipedia) |
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After announced by U.S. President Barack Obama strategy must change the terrorist organization "Islamic State" (IS, formerly ISIS) is now expected in Syria with U.S. air attacks. So far, the U.S. Air Force has the Sunni extremists bombed only in Iraq but in Syria left unmolested. In addition, the U.S. government wants to force as moderate rebels more than before upgrade and train for the fight against IS. As many partners from NATO and the Middle East to support the action. This involves According to experts, in the case of Syria only to fighting terrorism - and not a solution for the three and a half years of conflict.
Obama wants to push back the IS-impact, without too deeply entangled in the Syrian civil war, according to Julien Barnes-Dacey of the think tank European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR). U.S. air strikes should help moderate the rebels though, to stand up to the far most superior IS organizations. Support for this rebel that would change the balance of power against both the IS and to the regime of Bashar al-Assad was, however, not planned. "There is no comprehensive strategy to help the rebels a decisive victory in Syria," said Barnes-Dacey in the DW-conversation. Unlike in Iraq, the United States wanted to stay at a distance as possible in Syria. Reason for this is that Obama is the fragmented and weakened opposition not zutraue a real victory.
Help for rebels as a gesture
The announced military aid is the Swedish Syria experts Aron Lund that inter alia a political gesture. With this support, the Obama seeks the consent of Congress, let him turn to the Americans and the insurgents. "This is to show that he not only bombed the page, but also against Assad is going on," Lund says the Obama speech. The President had stressed:. "In the fight against IS we can not rely on one-Assad regime that terrorized his people, a regime that will never regain its lost legitimacy us" An action against the Syrian leadership he has, however, not indicated.
An IS-fighter waves a flag over a captured Syrian fighter aircraft (Photo: AP)
Two and a half weeks ago conquered IS Fighter Syrian military airport Tabka
The Syrian National Coalition (SNC) as umbrella organization for moderate forces welcomed the announcement of Obama. Whether U.S. air attacks would the SNC and Free Syrian Army's really come on IS-benefit objectives, however, is open. In the struggle between the Assad regime, the "Islamic State" and other rebel groups, the Assad troops could be beneficiaries. If the growing pressure of the IS-terrorist militia subsides on the regime, the more this forces has released for the fight against the moderate opposition. "That's probably good for Assad," Lund assess the possible air strikes against IS. The Syrian president would also exploit these attacks for its propaganda. "That helps him to present himself as the protector of the West against terrorism," says Lund. If the United States, the IS-militia bombed instead of the Syrian government forces, the show, who is regarded as the real threat to the West.
Hardly expected protest against U.S. action
Already in August 2013, after the use of chemical weapons in the vicinity of Damascus, seemed US air attacks possible in Syria. At that time, however, positions of the regime had been targeted. President Obama had previously defined the use of chemical weapons as a "red line." If this would be exceeded, Washington originally wanted to intervene. For an intervention to, Russia had then protested. Moscow is allied with Damascus and has blocked several resolutions of the UN Security Council on Syria with his veto. The USA finally renounced attacks. A broad diplomatic front against a U.S. intervention not expect Barnes-Dacey in the case of Terrorganisation IS: "There is an international consensus on the threat posed by the 'Islamic state'."
A soldier of the Free Syrian Army in front of a tank in Deir el-Zor in June 2013 (Photo: Reuters)
The rebels of the Free Syrian Army always inspect fewer cities in Syria
The ECFR expert criticizes Obama mainly from the perspective of counterterrorism on Syria look: "As long as the political reasons for the growth of the 'Islamic state' are not addressed, you can not get to the root of the problem." However, Washington seems to be missing in addition to a clear strategy and the force for a solution to the Syrian war. "This is another attempt by the USA to manage the conflict in Syria, but not to resolve it," Lund judgment on Obama's rate against IS. "I doubt that the United States are currently prepared to take economically, politically and militarily on themselves."
Are countries like Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Egypt really trusted partner in the fight against the murderous gangs of the "Islamic state" (IS)? No, they are not. Saudi Arabia has even a brutal and deeply undemocratic system of government based on the sharia. Qatar massively supported the Muslim Brotherhood in the region - including militant groups such as Hamas. Although Egypt again fought rigorously the Muslim Brotherhood, can be more radical groups like the Salafists, however, always run free so as not to alienate its most important donors in Saudi Arabia.
In particular, had the "Sunni axis" from Gulf States and Turkey for a long time no problem at all with the terrorists of the IS. You can grant IS aware and at least indirectly even supported as long as they saw the terrorists a useful tool in the fight against the regime of Bashar al-Assad in Syria. For Assad is known ally of Shiite Iran, the Sunni Saudi Arabia bitterly vying for regional supremacy for many years.
Sunni states could provide long IS
Even as the fanatics of the IS overran the city of Mosul and their reign of terror stretched over large parts of Iraq, the Sunni States initially remained remarkably passive. For it was obvious that the terrorists had allied themselves with local Sunni groups against the former, Shiite-dominated government in Baghdad, which was the same as the Syrian regime closely tied in with the Iranian regime. This development they would not oppose prematurely. To overthrow the hated Shiite Prime Minister Nuri Al-Maliki, the Sunni states was evidently important at this time, as the IS-terrorists to halt.
German wave Rainer Sollich Arab editors
Rainer Sollich, Arab department of Deutsche Welle
Nevertheless, the alliance of the United States with the Sunni states is no alternative. Without their support, the fight against IS not win. Even if the IS can be financed by smuggling and forced taxes well even now, it remains important to dry out the private financial sources of terrorists, particularly in the Gulf region. The United States also need to use and overflight rights in the region in order to attack the terrorists in Iraq and in the future in Syria effectively. Even the military intervention itself is no alternative. Where all the people groups should be exterminated and innocent people beheaded in front of cameras with inhuman malice, can be countered only by force.
What price must be paid?
The participation of the Arab regimes will be but not for free. You will work with all means that neither Iran nor the regime in Syria are strengthened through struggle against IS. In the case of Syria, however, this is also a legitimate concern: This system results in more than three years, an inhuman war against much of his own people and should not emerge as a profiteer from the fight against terrorism. It is therefore right at all uncertainties, the United States has decided in parallel with military operations against IS in Syria, a direct military support for moderate Syrian regime opponents. Whether this plan will rise so, however, is uncertain. Assad might end up going as a win.
Another prize is political: the Arab states arms is acutely aware of how much Washington is instructed in the current conflict situation to them. Criticism of human rights violations if they will ever even uttered loudly, they will continue to
Washington. USA see signs that Russia complies Minsk agreements ceasefire in Ukraine, said White House spokesman Josh Earnest, RIA Novosti.
He also confirmed that the United States is ready to withdraw its sanctions against Russia in case of compliance agreements Minsk from Moscow.
"These are the first impressions and do not want to fall into euphoria. United Russia expect further moves in this direction, "said Ernest.
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